September 2023

Risk Aversion and Savings Behavior

By Antoine Bommier, Francois Le Grand & Lionel Wilner This paper investigates the relationship between lifetime savings and risk aversion. First, we take a theoretical approach in a two-period framework with a very general non-parametric model. We show that risk aversion reduces savings in the presence of mortality risk. We then verify the negative impact of risk aversion on savings in a numerical exercise, with a multi-period setting where mortality risk is calibrated on actual demographic life-tables. Finally, we check...

US. Washington taking aim at pension risk transfer market, but is anything broken?

The U.S. pension risk transfer market is booming as more companies look to shed their pension liabilities, but changes to the rules governing such transactions could be coming, which is making some stakeholders nervous. "What I worry about is that we see something proposed that disrupts the system that's working well," said Kent A. Mason, a Washington-based partner at law firm Davis & Harman LLP and outside counsel for the American Benefits Council. "To me, where do you go from the...

August 2023

Longevity Risk and Capital Markets: The 2021-22 Update

By David P. Blake, Malene Kallestrup Lamb & Jesper Rangvid  This Special Issue of the Journal of Demographic Economics contains 10 contributions to the academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets. Draft versions of the papers were presented at Longevity 16: The Sixteenth International Longevity Risk and Capital Markets Solutions Conference that was held in Helsingør near Copenhagen on 13-14 August 2021. It was hosted by PerCent at Copenhagen Business School and the Pensions Institute at City,...

Global Pension Risk Transfer Monitor: Record H1 Transaction Volumes in UK and US

-The Legal & General Group’s Global Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) businesses – Legal & General Retirement Institutional (LGRI), the United Kingdom’s longest-serving active PRT provider and Legal & General Retirement America (LGRA), a leading provider of pension risk solutions in the United States – today released the latest edition of the Global PRT Monitor, which analyses industry trends and market outlooks in the UK and US. In the US, the Monitor found that last year’s record momentum for US transactions...

U.S. PRT sales totaled $16.2 billion in Q2, more than doubling Q1 volume

U.S. pension risk transfer sales totaled $16.2 billion in the second quarter, more than doubling the volume from the previous quarter, a LIMRA survey found. The total volume in the second quarter also exceeded the volume during the same period last year by 31%, according to the survey. The increase in buyout volume from $12.3 billion in the second quarter of 2022 was primarily due to a single transaction. On May 1, Dallas-based AT&T Inc. announced the third-largest U.S. buyout transaction in history,...

US. Pension Risk Transfer Deals Hit Record Level in First Half of 2023

In the first half of 2023 plan sponsors completed a record 289 pension-risk transfer transactions totaling $22.4 billion in premiums, according to a report from Aon, the largest PRT adviser. Aon predicted that the full year would see $40 billion in PRT deals, noting that the PRT market typically is busiest in a year’s second half. The report declared: “The pipeline continues to be robust, and we are hearing a lot of interest from plan sponsors. We expect a busy second half...

Public Employee Pensions and Municipal Insolvency

By Sean Myers  This paper studies how municipal governments jointly manage spending, credit market borrowing, and public employee pensions. I model governments as levered investors who must meet non-defaultable pension obligations and may value government spending more than citizens. I quantify the model using California city-level data, including a new record of fiscal emergencies, tax increases required to maintain essential services. After the financial crisis depleted pension funds, cities engaged in excessive risk-taking: the fiscal emergency option encouraged gambling for...

July 2023

US. ERISA Advisory Council Highlights Trends in Pension Risk Transfers

Shaun O’Brien, the chair of the ERISA Advisory Council, summarized many of the trends in the pension risk transfer market and commonly expressed concerns from pension fiduciaries and stakeholders at a hearing the council hosted Tuesday at the Department of Labor. The hearing was held to discuss possible changes to Interpretative Bulletin 95-1, which requires that pension fiduciaries select the safest annuity providers when executing pension risk transfers. Considering modifications to IB 95-1 was required by Section 321 of the...

China’s $400 Billion Pension Sends New Warning on Debt Risks

One of China’s biggest state-run investors is adding to the chorus of warnings over debt risks at the nation’s cash-strapped developers and local government financing vehicles. The National Council for Social Security Fund, which oversees about $417 billion according to the latest available figures, has advised asset managers that handle its money to sell some bonds including those from riskier LGFVs and private developers after a review, people familiar with the matter said, asking not to be identified discussing private...

June 2023

EIOPA says national supervisors need more data on liquidity risks

Pension funds and insurers in Europe are holding up well in spite of higher financial stability risks, according to a new report from the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) – but the body also said national supervisors need more data on liquidity and other risks to make sure buffer requirements are adequate. Publishing its June 2023 Financial Stability Report today, Frankfurt-based EIOPA said the European economy was currently experiencing a new period of high uncertainty and elevated financial...