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May 2018

The Economist Guide To Investment Strategy 4th Edition: How to understand markets, risk, rewards and behaviour

By Peter Stanyer,‎ Stephen Satchell The classic guide for the individual investor, The Economist Guide to Investment Strategy sets out the basic - and the not-so-basic - principles for putting your wealth to work. It looks at risk, pointing out the hazards for those who wish to explore a variety of investment approaches. It also teaches the importance of sophisticated self-knowledge in finance, distilling insights from behavioural analysis as well as the principles of traditional finance. It highlights how habitual...

March 2018

When I’m Sixty-four: The Plot Against Pensions and the Plan to Save Them

By Teresa Ghilarducci A crisis is looming for baby boomers and anyone else who hopes to retire in the coming years. In When I'm Sixty-Four, Teresa Ghilarducci, the nation's leading authority on the economics of retirement, explains how to confront this crisis head-on, revealing the causes behind the increasingly precarious economics of old age in America and proposing a bold plan to guarantee retirement security for every working citizen. Retirement is one of the hallmarks of a prosperous, civilized market...

February 2018

Financial Economics Principles Applied to Public Pension Plans

By Edward Bartholomew (Independent), Jeremy Gold (Jeremy Gold Pensions), David G. Pitts (Independent) & Larry Pollack (Independent) Working from basic principles of economics, financial economics, and public finance, we develop implications for the financial management of public pension plans. We address the measurement of plan liabilities and cost, funding, investment of plan assets, financial reporting, benefit design and risk sharing. Our analysis seeks to maximize efficiency and preserve intergenerational equity. We conclude that full funding based on default-free discount rates...

The Optimal Allocation of Longevity Risk with Perfect Insurance Markets

By Antoine Bommier (ETH Zürich) & Hélène Schernberg (ETH Zurich) This paper discusses the allocation of aggregate longevity risk in the case of perfect insurance markets. We show that the optimal allocation transfers some risk to the pensioners, even if pension providers have access to a perfect insurance market. Individuals prefer contributions and benefits to depend on the evolution of aggregate mortality rates rather than being fixed. Indeed, this flexibility offers an interesting diversification strategy where the prospect of a...

January 2018

Are Cryptocurrencies Real Financial Bubbles? Evidence from Quantitative Analyses

By Marco Bianchetti (Intesa Sanpaolo - Financial and Market Risk Management; University of Bologna), Camilla Ricci (Intesa Sanpaolo-Financial and Market Risk Management) & Marco Scaringi (Intesa Sanpaolo - Financial and Market Risk Management) The growth of peer-to-peer exchanges and the blockchain technology has led to a proliferation of cryptocurrencies and to a massive increase in the number of investors who actually negotiate digital money. Cryptocurrencies trade at prices which is mainly driven by investor sentiment, becoming a potential source of...

December 2017

How to Invest and Spend Wealth in Retirement? A Utility-Based Analysis

By Servaas van Bilsen (University of Amsterdam), A. Lans Bovenberg (Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research (CentER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)) & Roger J. A. Laeven (University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam School of Economics) This paper explores the optimal consumption and investment behavior of a retiree who derives utility from the ratio between consumption and an endogenous habit. By developing a non-trivial linearization to the budget...

Securing Lifelong Retirement Income: Global Annuity Markets and Policy

By Olivia S. Mitchel Interest in longevity and longevity risk management is burgeoning, as government and regulatory agencies are increasingly conscious of the potential risks and benefits of longer lifespans. Commercial and industrial organizations, especially within the financial sector, are awakening to the opportunities presented by population aging, along with the new array of financial insurance instruments to manage longevity risk, which more sophisticated markets are making possible. This volume explores three main themes: the need for products to manage...

October 2017

Longevity Risk and Capital Markets: The 2015-16 Update

By David P. Blake (The Pensions Institute), Nicole El Karoui (Ecole Polytechnique), Richard D. MacMinn (National Chengchi University) & Stéphane Loisel (University of Lyon) This Special Issue of Insurance: Mathematics and Economics contains 16 contributions to the academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets. Draft versions of the papers were presented at Longevity 11: The Eleventh International Longevity Risk and Capital Markets Solutions Conference that was held in Lyon, France on 8-9 September 2015. It was hosted...

Endowment vs Pension Returns

By Michael Karris (EndowBridge Capital) Does the Endowment Model still work? Judging by large endowments’ steady outperformance of a 70% global stock /30% US bond index, THE ANSWER IS YES. Versus a 60% US stock / 40% US bond index, the answer is not as clear cut. Even so, the Endowment Model still adds value for a long-term portfolio that uses alternative assets, especially venture capital. The lucrative illiquidity premium has generated superior returns for U.S. endowments versus other investors, especially through...

July 2017

Optimal Longevity Risk Transfer and Investment Strategies

By Samuel H. Cox (University of Manitoba), Yijia Lin (University of Nebraska) & Sheen Liu (Washington State University) Given the rising cost of maintaining defined benefit (DB) pensions, there has been a surge of activities in recent years by DB plan sponsors to transfer their pension risk through strategies such as buy-ins and buy-outs. As buy-in and buy-out transaction pipelines grow, insurers actively participating in the buy-in and buy-out markets are exposed to significant longevity risk embedded in pension schemes....