March 2021

UK. Pension risk settlements reached record high of over £54bn in 2020

The UK pension scheme risk settlement market hit a new record-high figure of over £54bn in 2020, and 2021 could be even bigger, according to analysis from Aon. The provider said it was possible to conclude that 2020 had broken the £52bn total achieved in 2019 now that all information on deals was available, while it cited “early indications” in its forecast that the new year could be worth even more. It also noted that the feat had been achieved despite...

February 2021

US. With lower returns on the horizon, public pensions will turn to riskier assets, Moody’s says

State and local government pension systems are increasingly dependent on investment returns, and at risk of increasingly volatile results, as funding levels remain depressed and systems increasingly start to pay out more than they take in, according to a new report from Moody’s. The credit-ratings agency anticipates higher volatility and lower returns across asset classes in 2021 compared to 2020, even as many pension sponsors have spent the past few years lowering their assumed returns from previous loftier targets that...

Global Pension Assets Study – 2021

By Willis Tower Watson The Global Pension Assets Study covers 22 major pension markets (the P22), which now totals US$52,522 billion in pension assets and account for 80% of the GDP of these economies. The study includes an analysis of the seven largest markets (the P7) which includes Australia, Canada, Japan, Netherlands, Switzerland, UK and US and comprises 92% of total pension assets. Get the book here

Late-career Unemployment Shocks, Pension Outcomes and Unemployment Insurance

By Samir Elsadek Mahmoudi In response to unemployment shocks, older workers deplete their 401(k)s, particularly after the waiving of the early withdrawal penalty on unemployment-motivated withdrawals at age 55. This paper shows that Unemployment Insurance (UI) keeps older workers from depleting their 401(k) assets following job losses. UI also incentivizes older unemployed workers to delay claiming their Social Security (SS) benefits beyond the earliest age of eligibility, 62. Overall, UI enhances the retirement income of the individuals having a history...

Deutsche Bank inks buy-in deal for U.K. pension fund with L&G

DB (U.K.) Pension Scheme, England, insured £570 million ($783 million) in liabilities through a buy-in with Legal & General Assurance Society, a spokesman confirmed. The transaction, the first for the £4.5 billion plan, was structured to allow for further risk transfer deals with Legal & General to be completed on pre-agreed terms when favorable pricing arises. The spokesman said the plan will look to complete further transactions. Lane Clark & Peacock advised the trustees and Deutsche Bank, the plan sponsor, on...

UK roundup: £1trn of DB pension risk to be insured by 2031, says Hymans

Recent analysis by Hymans Robertson shows that £1trn (€1.13trn) of risk from defined benefit (DB) pension schemes is expected to have been insured by the end of 2031. The analysis showed that since the pension risk transfer market took off in 2007, buy-ins/buy-outs (£180bn) and longevity swaps (£110bn) have already insured £300bn of risk from DB pension schemes. Further analysis by the consultancy points to an additional £700bn of DB pension scheme risk being insured by the end of 2031, resulting...

Portfolio Management for Insurers and Pension Funds and COVID-19: Targeting Volatility for Equity, Balanced and Target-Date Funds with Leverage Constraints 2

By Bao Huy Doan , Jonathan J. Reeves , Michael Sherris Insurers and pension funds face the challenges of historically low interest rates and volatility in equity markets, that have been accentuated due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent advances in equity portfolio management with a target volatility have been shown to deliver improved on average risk adjusted return, after transaction costs. This paper studies these targeted volatility portfolios in applications to equity, balanced and target-date funds with varying constraints...

Portfolio Management for Insurers and Pension Funds and COVID-19: Targeting Volatility for Equity, Balanced and Target-Date Funds with Leverage Constraints

By Bao Huy Doan, Jonathan J. Reeves, Michael Sherris Insurers and pension funds face the challenges of historically low interest rates and volatility in equity markets, that have been accentuated due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent advances in equity portfolio management with a target volatility have been shown to deliver improved on average risk adjusted return, after transaction costs. This paper studies these targeted volatility portfolios in applications to equity, balanced and target-date funds with varying constraints on leverage....

US. GameStop frenzy has hedge fund managers rethinking next moves

Retail investors' frenzied attack on short sellers during the week of Jan. 25, which saw U.S. equity trading by volume hit a record high, is forcing some hedge funds to rethink their strategies and approaches to investing. Sources fear that generating alpha from short positions — and the wider hedge fund industry — may be damaged by the episode. Hedge funds may have to invest more in large-cap stocks rather than small cap, keep their positions better hidden from...