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October 2020

The DC Future Book: In association with Columbia Threadneedle Investments

By Lauren Wilkinson, Daniela Silcock and John Adams Compared to previous generations of pensioners, current and future retirees will: • Live longer on average, • Receive their State Pension later, • Be more likely to be dependent on Defined Contribution (DC) savings, • Have no, or low, levels of Defined Benefit (DB) entitlement, and • Flexibly access their DC savings. These changes increase the risks borne by pension scheme members and the complexity of decisions people must make at and...

Does NZ spend less on pensions than most wealthy countries?

AAP FactCheck Investigation: Does superannuation cost New Zealand 4.4 per cent of GDP each year – and is this low by international standards? THE STATEMENT “The reality is we are way below the international cost of superannuation, we are about 4.4 per cent of GDP.” Winston Peters, New Zealand First leader and deputy prime minister, October 8, 2020. THE ANALYSIS New Zealand First leader and deputy prime minister Winston Peters has defended the cost of New Zealand’s superannuation scheme,...

South Africa. Deflation puts brakes on retired SA public servants’ pensions

For the first time since the 1990s, nearly 15,000 retired South Australian public servants will see their indexed pensions frozen until consumer prices bounce back – but the state Treasurer has intervened to ensure they don’t lose money. After this year’s record fall in the consumer price index, State Treasurer Rob Lucas has used his legislative discretion to maintain pension payments at their current level to more than 14,300 people in the pre-1986 scheme administered by Super SA....

Pensions for State and Local Government Workers Not Covered by Social Security: Do Benefits Meet Federal Standards?

By Laura Quinby, Jean-Pierre Aubry, Alicia H. Munnell Federal law allows certain state and local governments to exclude employees from Social Security coverage if the employees are provided with a sufficiently generous pension. Approximately 6.5 million such workers were not covered by Social Security in 2018. Retirement systems for non-covered workers have become less generous in recent years, and a few plans could exhaust their trust funds within the next decade, putting beneficiaries at risk. This article examines data...

September 2020

(Mis)Allocation Effects of an Overpaid Public Sector

By Tiago Cavalcanti, Marcelo Rodrigues Santos There is a large body of evidence showing that for many countries the structure of wages and pensions and the labor law legislation are different for public and private employees. Such differences affect the occupational choice of agents and might generate some type of misallocation. We develop a life-cycle model with endogenous occupational choice and heterogeneous agents to study the implications of an overpaid public sector. The model is estimated to be consistent...

August 2020

Greece. Wave of Pension Applications Swamp Overwhelmed Greek System

Greece's New Democracy government, which said retroactive pension payments ordered by the country's highest administrative court would begin in September, is also being hit with a deluge of applications for new pensions. The backlog could hit more than 300,000, said Kathimerini, and return the country to when beneficiaries had to wait two years or longer for their first check and were barred under law from working during that time. There was a big jump in people filing in January...

Australia. Govt now says Centrelink pensions might not go up, but won’t go backwards

Pensioners won’t get the automatic boost they are used to in September because inflation has fallen. Read also Australia. PM flags pension could rise even though cost of living has fallen Scott Morrison has instead opened the door to offering them a top-up payment in the October budget. Read also Pension Giant Says Radical Post-Covid Changes to Hit Investments But his finance minister, Mathias Cormann, does not appear enthusiastic about the potential sweetener. “Indexation arrangements are there to take account of...

Australia. PM flags pension could rise even though cost of living has fallen

Pensioners might be experiencing a fall in their cost of living but Prime Minister Scott Morrison has signalled they won't miss out on an increase in their pensions. Pensioners saw a 1.4 per cent fall in the cost of living in the June quarter and a 0.6 per cent fall in the cost of living in the six months to June this year. However, a parliamentary committee heard this week that the indexation formula, which uses the cost...

Public Pension Reforms and Fiscal Foresight: Narrative Evidence and Aggregate Implications

By Huixin Bi Sarah Zubairy We explore the evolution of pension policy across countries and investigate the macroeconomic impact of pension structural reforms in recent decades, in particular those with implementation delays. We first document chronological changes in pension policy for ten OECD countries between 1962 and 2017. The new data set uncovers that changes in pension policy come in waves, with a rapid expansion of pension systems between 1960s and 1980s followed by a wave of retrenchments since...

US. Beleaguered Public Pension Funds Make Record Gains in Second Quarter

Public pension funds set a 22-year performance record in the second quarter, recovering some but not all of their losses from the first quarter. Double-digit stock gains pushed pension returns to a median 11.1% for the second quarter, according to Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service. Even with the rebound, median annual returns for the public pensions whose fiscal years ended June 30 were 3.2%, far short of the funds’ long-term investment-return target of around 7%. “That’s the funny thing...