May 2024

Centenarians Are on the Rise: How Living Longer Will Affect Society’s Economics

By JayDee Vykoukal   According to a Pew Research Center analysis of United States Census Bureau data, the number of Americans aged 100 and older is expected to more than quadruple over the next three decades. The population is projected to reach 422,000 in 2054, up from an estimated 101,000 in 2024. These centenarians aren’t the only aging demographic on the rise. The 2020 U.S. Census count found one in six Americans is over 65, compared to less than 1 in 20 in 1920. Older...

Retirement Planning: Does It Make Sense to Plan to Age 95?

BY  TED GODBOUT   A new report out this week provides an interesting take on whether it makes sense for retirees and near-retirees to base their retirement planning under the industry-wide assumption that they will live to age 95. Instead of simply using age as a factor in determining how much to save and spend for purposes of retirement planning, the report by HealthView Services examines the financial impact for clients of planning to age 95 versus beginning the discussion using actuarial...

US. The Longevity Question

In his annual letter, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink stressed the need to find solutions to the concerns Americans face when they plan for retirement. “We focus a tremendous amount of energy on helping people live longer lives. But not even a fraction of that effort is spent helping people afford those extra years,” Fink wrote. Most public pension funds in the U.S. are underfunded, according to research from the Equable Institute, which released a  State of Pensions 2023 report that...

April 2024

How The US Economy Avoids The Longevity Trap

By Anthony Roth   The anticipated increase in the proportion of the American population aged 65 and older—from 58 million in 2022 to a projected 82 million by 2050—calls attention to the economic implications of increased longevity. Yes, this trend will bring significant challenges to continued economic growth. Fortunately, I believe the U.S. is uniquely positioned to overcome these challenges and capitalize on the economic opportunities related to longevity. Strength In Aging A key to any discussion of the increasing age of our population should also...

The future of life expectancy

By Prachi Patkee & Adam Strange Human longevity is one of the great success stories of the past century, and there is broad consensus that there are further gains to come. Mortality improvement forecasts underpin the insurance industry's long-term mortality and longevity lines of business. To generate long term forecasts, defined as beyond 20 years, a holistic view of the factors that influence mortality, which combine analyses of historic trends with a forward-looking view of medical advances, societal changes and...

Regressivity in Public Pension Systems: The Case of Peru

By Jose Valderrama We study the role of income-mortality differentials and pension eligibility conditions on the level of regressivity and progressivity of Peru’s public pension system, using administrative records from 1999 to 2018 to do so. We consider the joint effect of insufficient contributions, by which the poorest contribute to the pension system butultimately do not qualify for pensions because of insufficient contributions, and differing mortality by socioeconomic status in contributing to regressivity of the system. We find that the...

March 2024

US. Meet the typical retiree: A married woman in her 70s living on $30,000 a year in Maine or Florida

The majority of America's retirees are married, female, and have just a high school diploma. Retirees in the US have an average income of around $35,000. Florida, New Hampshire, and Main's populations all have a big share of retirees.   Baby boomers are in their retirement era. Of the generation born between 1946 and 1964, per Pew Research, less than 20% of Americans over the age of 65 were employed as of 2023. However, that's more than double the share of...

Aging population to be major driver of future climate-related deaths

Climate change poses profound public health threats to people of all ages. But as the climate changes, the world is facing another public health challenge: aging. The proportion of the world’s population 65 and older is projected to rise from 9% at present to 16% in 2050. As the earth’s temperature becomes more extreme, population aging is expected to substantially amplify future heat- and cold-related deaths, a new study from the Yale School of Public Health (YSPH) shows. According to the study, published...

U.S. Centenarians Projected To Quadruple By 2054—Will You Be Prepared?

In 30 years. the number of people reaching age 100 in the U.S. is projected to quadruple, according to a recent report from the Pew Research Center. The center projects that by 2054, the U.S. will be the home of 422,000 centenarians, up from 101,000 in 2024. And the percentage of the total population that is age 100 or older will increase from 0.03% today to 0.1% in 2054. The projected increase in super-agers is one sign of the increased health and...

February 2024

Is This Big Risk Lurking in Your Social Security Claiming Math?

By: John Manganaro     ThinkAdvisor published the latest in an ongoing series of Social Security claiming case studies earlier this month, finding the optimal claiming scenario for the sample married couple at hand would be to draw their benefits earlier than the maximum claiming age of 70. That result, based mainly on the fact that the couple had a highly uneven earnings history and a small but meaningful gap in longevity expectations, surprised some readers, and it sparked a number of insightful discussions with both...