February 2024

Trends in State and Local Pension Funds

By Oliver Giesecke & Joshua Rauh Unfunded public pension obligations represent the largest liability for state and local governments in the United States. As of fiscal year 2021, the total reported unfunded liabilities of these plans are $1.076 trillion. In contrast, the market value of the unfunded liability is approximately $6.501 trillion. As a result, the reported funding ratio of 82.5% falls to 43.8% under a market-based valuation. The market values reflect the fact that accrued pension promises are a...

US Corporate Pension Plans Continue to Improve Funded Status in January

Following a market rally in 2023 that boosted the funded status of corporate defined benefit plans in the U.S., that strength has continued into 2024. According to several pension trackers, the funded status of the plans continued to increase in January. The WTW Pension Index, which tracks the performance and funded status of a hypothetical 60/40 plan, rose to 108.8 in January, up 1.2% from the closing figures from 2023. WTW attributed this performance primarily to a rise in discount rates,...

US. Public Pensions Are Mixing Risky Investments with Unrealistic Predictions

More than 20 million Americans are covered by state and local government pensions. Unlike the 401(k) plans found in the private sector, these “defined benefit” plans promise to pay retirees a set amount of money every month for the rest of their lives. For most public workers, these generous programs are a cornerstone of their financial security; for many, they’re one of the main attractions of government jobs. Yet the plans, by their own reckoning, are underfunded to the tune...

January 2024

UK. DWP confirms final DB funding regulations

The Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) has published the final Occupational Pension Schemes (Funding and Investment Strategy and Amendment) Regulations 2024, which are set to come into force from April 2024. The final regulations set out the requirements for defined benefit (DB) pension schemes when determining their funding and investment strategy and statement of strategy, and will apply to scheme valuations from September 2024. Industry experts previously raised concerns over a potential mismatch between the DB regulations and The Pensions...

Public Pension Funding Index January 2024

By Rebecca A. Sielman & Richard L. Gordon  Two consecutive months of positive market performance in November and December 2023 pushed the funded status of the 100 largest U.S. public pension plans to its highest point of 2023. The plans’ estimated funded status increased from 72.4% as of October 31, 2023, to 75.9% as of November 30, 2023, and further increased to 78.2% as of December 31, 2023, as measured by the Milliman 100 Public Pension Funding Index (PPFI). Get the...

Funding ratio of largest U.S. public pension plans hits 78.2% at year-end – Milliman

The overall estimated funding ratio of the 100 largest U.S. public pension plans reached 78.2% at the end of December, the highest level of 2023, according to the Milliman 100 Public Pension Funding index. After three straight months of declines due to negative market returns in August through October, the estimated ratio rose for the second straight month in December. As of Nov. 30, the estimated ratio has risen to 75.9% from 72.4% at the end of October. The late-year rally...

PPF 7800 Index

By Pension Protection Fund The PPF 7800 Index tracks the level of underfunding risk in the PPF-eligible universe using the latest scheme return information provided to The Pensions Regulator and the roll- forward methodology used for PPF levy purposes. There are certain simplifications within the levy calculation, as described in note 4 on page 7 of this document, that should be borne in mind when interpreting these results. In particular, the assets and liabilities have not been reduced for benefit...

Pension Funding Index January 2024

By Zorast Wadia The funded status of the country’s 100 largest corporate pension plans, as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI), experienced a modest improvement in 2023, driven by annual investment returns of 9.94%. Declining discount rates, particularly in the fourth quarter, and the corresponding liability (i.e., the projected benefit obligation) increase of 8.33% served to partially offset the asset gains, resulting in a funded status improvement of $4 billion for the year. This gain paled in...

US Corporate Pension Plans Ended 2023 at Record Funding Levels

The funded status of the largest U.S. corporate pension funds hit an all-time high at the end of 2023, with many trackers finding U.S. plans fully funded. In December, pension trackers shared mixed results on funded status increases in corporate defined benefit plans, but most trended upward. WTW According to analysis by WTW, funded status for the largest U.S. corporate pension plans will end 2023 at 100%. WTW’s tracker, which tracks 358 Fortune 500 companies that sponsor U.S. defined benefits plans,...

The State of Pensions 2023: Year End Update

By Anthony Randazzo & Jonathan Moddy  In 2023, U.S. public pension funds remain fragile. According to Equable Institute’sState of Pensions 2023 report, state and municipal retirement systems are on track to miss their investment targets and are unlikely to see meaningful improvements in their unfunded liabilities or funded ratio in 2023. In this post, we will look at pension funding trends and detail the health of pension funds in an increasingly unpredictable market and where risky investments are more popular than ever....