December 2021

US. Most Kentucky pension plans face billions in debts, but not the one for legislators

Despite many billions in public pension debts, Kentucky has a state pension fund that is literally overflowing with cash — the one reserved for legislators. Last week, lawmakers in Frankfort were briefed on the Fiscal Year 2021 performance of their Legislators Retirement Plan, which provides them with state-subsidized pensions and health insurance. Their $79 million pension plan has a funding level of 108.9 percent, which is up from 106.3 percent in 2020. Their retiree health insurance plan is 362 percent funded. By...

November 2021

US. Newly Flush With Cash, Retirement Funds Struggle to Find Appealing Investments

State and local pension funds are reaping a historic windfall thanks to billions of dollars in record market gains and surplus tax revenues. Now they need to decide what to do with the money. It is a bittersweet dilemma that the chronically underfunded retirement systems share with many household and institutional investors around the country. Just when they finally have cash to play around with, every investment opportunity seems perilous. Read more @WSJ 302 views

The Economic Burden of Pension Shortfalls: Evidence from House Prices

By Darren Aiello, Asaf Bernstein, Mahyar Kargar, Ryan Lewis & Michael Schwert U.S. state pensions are underfunded by trillions of dollars, but their economic burden is unclear. In a model of inefficient taxation, real estate fully reflects the cost of pension shortfalls when it is the only form of immobile capital. We study the effect of pension shortfalls on real estate values at state borders, where labor and physical capital could more easily relocate to a state with a smaller...

U.S. corporate pension funding rises in october-4 reports

Funding ratios for U.S. corporate pension plans increased in October, according to reports from Legal & General Investment Management America, Wilshire, Northern Trust Asset Management and Insight Investment. LGIMA found in its monthly pension solutions monitor that the funding ratio of a typical corporate pension plan increased by 2 percentage points to 91.7% in October primarily due to strong performance from global equities. LGIMA estimated that U.S. Treasury rates dropped 4 basis points while credit spreads remained relatively unchanged, resulting in...

October 2021

Avoiding a pensions disaster at UK universities

After two years of pandemic-induced disruption, students at UK universities were hoping this term that things were slowly returning to normal. But life may soon get much worse again and this time it has nothing to do with Covid-19. Ballots on strike action by lecturers have been called at UK universities. The issue is pensions; more precisely, whether the Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS) — the largest pension scheme in the UK with 470,000 members and £85bn in assets — has sufficient...

US. Milliman analysis: Corporate pension funded ratio holds steady at 97.3% in September

Milliman, Inc., a premier global consulting and actuarial firm, today released the results of its latest Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI), which analyzes the 100 largest U.S. corporate pension plans. A rise in discount rates during September countered a 1.68% investment loss for corporate pensions, leaving the funded status of the Milliman 100 PFI nearly flat for the month. The market value of assets declined by $38 billion while the monthly discount rate climbed from 2.65% in August to...

September 2021

US. Stock Market Helps State Pension Debt Hit 10-Year Low, But Crisis Still Looms Large

Thanks to historic investment returns over the last year, state public pension plans are in their best shape since the Great Recession. After state pension debt grew to more than $1.4 trillion last year, two new reports estimate that gap between the total amount states have promised to retirees and what they’ve actually set aside in their pension investment funds will shrink dramatically. A recent analysis by the Pew Charitable Trusts says the gap could dip below $1 trillion this...

US. Pension tension: 15 states with the worst public pensions

Public pensions took a beating during the Great Recession of 2008, and a recent report from the Equable Institute showed there to be no net recovery from those losses. The report also noted that total unfunded liabilities for statewide plans had increased from nearly $100 billion in 2001 to $1.35 trillion in 2019, with an estimated 2020 total of $1.62 trillion as a result of negative cash flows and market underperformance. Unsurprisingly, the pandemic had something to do with that:...

The Government Debt Iceberg

By Jagadeesh Gokhale Europe and the United States will soon begin to encounter fiscal constraints the like of which we have never seen before. Federal debt as a percentage of GDP more than doubled between 2000 and 2012. According to the US Congressional Budget Office, total national debt is expected to remain close to 100 per cent of GDP during the next decade and begin to increase thereafter as the baby-boomers fully enter retirement. · Debt levels in European Union countries...

U.S. corporate pension funding rises in August – 2 reports

Funding ratios for U.S. corporate pension plans increased in August, according to reports from Legal & General Investment Management America and Wilshire. LGIMA found in its monthly pension solutions monitor that the funding ratio of a typical corporate pension plan increased by 1.6 percentage points to 90.8% in August primarily due to strong performance from global equities. LGIMA estimated U.S. Treasury rates rose 3 basis points while credit spreads widened by 2 basis points, resulting in the average discount rate rising...