The Economic Effects of the UK Government’s Proposed Brexit Deal

By Arno Hantzsche (National Institute of Economic and Social Research; University of Nottingham), Amit Kara (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee), Garry Young (National Institute of Economic and Social Research) The focus of our analysis is on how the UK government's proposed Brexit deal is likely to affect the economy. First, we assess how trade, migration, foreign direct investment, productivity and contributions to the EU budget might change by reviewing current proposals against historical evidence. Second, we use the...