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Modelo de la regulación de las AFP en Colombia y su impacto en el portafolio de los fondos de pensiones

Por Diego Jara

Es natural pensar que el futuro pensionado prefiere que su ahorro sea invertido eficientemente; es decir, sin tomar riesgos que no generen retornos adicionales; sin embargo, no es claro que las AFP estén incentivadas para invertir en portafolios eficientes. En el caso colombiano, elementoscomo la estructura de comisiones y la rentabilidad mínima, dadas en la regulación, pueden desalinear las preferencias del principal y el agente. En este trabajo se presenta unmodelo donde las AFP son agentes que maximizan su utilidad esperada, y se demuestra numéricamente que la regulación, y en particular la rentabilidad mínima, causan que las AFP prefieran invertir en portafolios ineficientes; entonces, es posible que esta regulación no proteja óptimamente los ahorros de los afiliados al sistema de pensiones obligatorias.

Fuente: IDEAS