February 2019

The Economic Effects of the UK Government's Proposed Brexit Deal

By Arno Hantzsche (National Institute of Economic and Social Research; University of Nottingham), Amit Kara (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee), Garry Young (National Institute of Economic and Social Research) The focus of our analysis is on how the UK government's proposed Brexit deal is likely to affect the economy. First, we assess how trade, migration, foreign direct investment, productivity and contributions to the EU budget might change by reviewing current proposals against historical evidence. Second, we use the...

The Economic Effects of the UK Government’s Proposed Brexit Deal

By Arno Hantzsche (National Institute of Economic and Social Research; University of Nottingham), Amit Kara (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee), Garry Young (National Institute of Economic and Social Research) The focus of our analysis is on how the UK government's proposed Brexit deal is likely to affect the economy. First, we assess how trade, migration, foreign direct investment, productivity and contributions to the EU budget might change by reviewing current proposals against historical evidence. Second, we use the...

January 2019

First report costs and past performance

By EIOPA (European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority) Executive Summary The report sets out aggregate data on the costs of insurance-based investment product (IBIPs) across the EU, and, to a limited extent, certain personal pension products (PPPs). The data also sets out net performance for the period between 2013-2017. It follows the European Commission request to the European Supervisory Authorities to periodically reporto on costs and past performance of retail investment products. It has been undertaken as a “pilot” exercise, reflecting an anticipated need for...

Reversing Pension Privatization: Rebuilding Public Pension Systems in Eastern European and Latin American Countries (2000-18)

By Isabel Ortiz (United Nations - International Labour Organization (ILO); Initiative for Policy Dialogue), Fabio Duran (International Labour Organization (ILO)), Stefan Urban (United Nations - International Labour Organization (ILO)), Veronika Wodsak (United Nations - International Labour Organization (ILO)), Zhiming Yu (International Labour Organization) From 1981 to 2014, thirty countries privatized fully or partially their public mandatory pensions; as of 2018, eighteen countries have reversed the privatization. This report: (i) analyses the failure of mandatory private pensions to improve old-age income...

Government Transfers, Work and Wellbeing: Evidence from the Russian Old-Age Pension

By Louise Grogan (University of Guelph - Department of Economics) & Fraser Summerfield (University of Aberdeen - Economics; CELMR; Rimini Center for Economic Analysis (RCEA)) This paper examines the impacts of a large and anticipated government transfer, the Russian old-age pension, on labor supply, home production and subjective wellbeing. The discontinuity in eligibility at pension age is exploited for inference. The 2006-2011 Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey is employed. Causal impacts differ across the sexes. Women reduce market work and appear...

December 2018

Meeting India’s Retirement Challenge

By Richard Jackson ALTHOUGH RAPID DEVELOPMENT BRINGS GREAT BENEFITS, it also creates great challenges. Among the most critical is ensuring a measure of security for the old, who often find themselves vulnerable and marginalized as economic growth accelerates and traditional social and cultural norms are overturned. When rapid development is combined with rapid population aging, confronting the challenge becomes all the more urgent. India is one of the world’s most rapidly developing countries. Like most emerging markets, it is also progressing...

Collecting and Transferring Pension Contributions

Collecting social security contributions is an important operational issue in all types of pension system. Many regimes are plagued by poor compliance and weak, inefficient administration. Some countries have tried to introduce an automatic incentive to contribute by moving systems closer to ‘actuarial fairness’, where pension benefits are more strictly related to individual contributions. Examples include the systems of individual accounts introduced in a range of countries in Latin America and Eastern Europe. But in these regimes, collecting and...

October 2018

Counting the Oil Money and the Elderly: Norway's Public Sector Balance Sheet

By Ezequiel Cabezon (University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill), Christian Henn (International Monetary Fund) Based on a permanent income analysis, Gagnon (2018) has prominently suggested that Norwayhas saved too much, thereby free-riding on the rest of the world for demand. Our public sectorbalance sheet analysis comes to the opposite conclusion, chiefly because it also accounts forfuture aging costs. Unsurprisingly, we find that Norway's current assets exceed its liabilities bysome 340 percent of mainland GDP. But its nonoil fiscal...

Counting the Oil Money and the Elderly: Norway’s Public Sector Balance Sheet

By Ezequiel Cabezon (University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill), Christian Henn (International Monetary Fund) Based on a permanent income analysis, Gagnon (2018) has prominently suggested that Norwayhas saved too much, thereby free-riding on the rest of the world for demand. Our public sectorbalance sheet analysis comes to the opposite conclusion, chiefly because it also accounts forfuture aging costs. Unsurprisingly, we find that Norway's current assets exceed its liabilities bysome 340 percent of mainland GDP. But its nonoil fiscal...

September 2018

Investment Consultants Market Investigation. Provisional Decision report

By CMA Overview of our provisional decision Investment consultancy and fiduciary management services influence the pension outcomes for millions of people. It is vital that competition within these markets works well. Both investment consultancy and fiduciary management are useful services for many pension schemes, helping them to manage their investments well on behalf of scheme members. We have provisionally found that there is an adverse effect on competition and that material customer detriment may be expected to result from it in both the...