December 2023
01Dec

Subjective survival beliefs and the life-cycle model

By Seung Yeon Jeong, Iqbal Owadally, Steven Haberman & Douglas Wright Evidence from panel surveys of households, collected over several years and in different countries, shows that people’s perception about their remaining lifetime deviates from actuarial data. This has consequences for consumption, savings and investment over an individual’s financial life cycle, and in particular for retirement planning and the purchase of annuities. We use data from the U.S. Survey of Consumer Finances to estimate subjective survival probabilities at different ages....

December 1, 2023
Articles, Pension design, , ,
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01Dec

The health status of the retirement-age population: a first approach

By Laura Crespo & Juan F. Jimeno Rationale The health of the population aged 55 to 69 influences their labour supply and retirement decisions. This article aims to document their health status, in Spain and in other European countries, drawing on data from the Survey on Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). Takeaways •There are marked differences by gender in the health status of the Spanish population aged 65 to 69. Among women, 62.9% report chronic health problems, 30.1% mobility limitations and 32.1%...

December 1, 2023
Articles, System Characterization, , ,
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01Dec

Augmenting the Funded Ratio: New Metrics for Liability Based Plans

By Sanjiv Ranjan Das, Daniel N Ostrov, Anand Radhakrishnan, Deep Srivastav & Wylie Tollette The primary metric used to determine the health of a liability based plan (LBP) is the funded ratio, which is the ratio of the LBP’s current assets to its present-valued liabilities. The funded ratio, however, cannot accommodate a considerable number of important financial factors, so we suggest three additional metrics of financial health, each connected to the probability of fulfilling the plan’s liabilities. The first two...

December 1, 2023
Articles, Pension Management, , ,
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November 2023
24Nov

Retirement Planning: The Volatility-Adjusted Coverage Ratio

By Javier Estrada  The important decisions that retirees have to make to try to achieve their financial goals during retirement often stem from models used by financial planners. Despite the important role it plays in many of those models, the failure rate has several limitations and many alternatives have been proposed. This article introduces a new metric, the volatility-adjusted coverage ratio, which incorporates the benefit (the coverage ratio) and the cost (the volatility of the portfolio) of the strategies considered....

November 24, 2023
Articles, Pension design, ,
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24Nov

ESG and Public Pension Investing in 2023: A Year-To-Date Recap and Analysis

By Joshua Lichtenstein, Michael Littenberg & Reagan Haas Since 2021, Ropes & Gray has been actively tracking the various approaches states have taken on how or whether environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors should be applied to the investment decisions for public retirement systems. States have used legislative, administrative and enforcement mechanisms to address this area, which has been complemented by Congressional Republicans’ various attempts to shine a spotlight on ESG in recent months. Judging by the significant uptick in...

November 24, 2023
Articles, Investment, , , ,
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21Nov

Pension Reforms, Longer Working Horizons and Absence from Work

By Giorgio Brunello, Maria De Paola & Lorenzo Rocco Using matched employer-employee data for Italy and newly available information on sick leaves certificates, we study the effect of an exogenous increase in the length of the residual work horizon – triggered by a pension reform that increased minimum retirement age - on middle-aged employees' absence from work due to sick leaves. We find that this effect is positive for females and negative for males. After excluding health as a plausible...

November 21, 2023
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17Nov

Unionization of Retired Workers in Europe

By Vinzenz Pyka & Claus Schnabel We shed light on an understudied group: retirees in unions. Using representative individual-level data of 19 European countries, we find that the share of retirees in unions and the union density of retirees increased between 2008 and 2020. Econometric analyses indicate that on average retired workers' probability of union membership is 17 percentage points lower than that of active workers. This finding is consistent with social custom models and cost-benefit considerations. We further find that...

November 17, 2023
Articles, Labor Market, , ,
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17Nov

AI and Retirement – How It Will Affect Your Retirement Savings

By Carolyn Young  Artificial Intelligence (AI) is impacting humans more than any of us realize. It’s being used by marketers to gain customer insights, by manufacturers to automate processes, and by many businesses to analyze data and improve efficiency. AI’s ability to rapidly analyze large amounts of data has also given it a huge role in the financial industry, and thus can impact your retirement savings in a variety of ways. In fact, AI is being used most by the banking...

November 17, 2023
Articles, Pension design, , , ,
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17Nov

Societal aging and its impact on Singapore

By Cynthia Chen, Julian Lim, Abhijit Visaria & Angelique Chan  Societal aging is arguably one of our most critical demographic challenges (World Bank, 2016). Singapore is aging at a much faster rate compared to other countries. It will take only 27 years to transition from an 'aging society' in 1999 (7% of the population aged 65+) to a 'super-aged society' in 2026 (with 20% of its population aged 65+) (Tan Teck Boon, 2015). Japan, China, Germany, and the United States took, or will take,...

November 17, 2023
Aging, Articles, ,
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10Nov

Sustainability of pension schemes: Building a smooth automatic balance mechanism with an application to the us social security

By Frédéric Gannon, Florence Legros & Vincent Touzé We build a “smooth” automatic balancing mecanism (S-ABM) which would result from an optimal tradeoff between increasing the receipts and reducing the expenditures of a pension scheme. The S-ABM obtains from minimizing a sum of discounted quadratic loss function under the constraint of an intertemporal budget balance. One advantage of this model of “optimal” adjustment is its ability to analyse various configurations in terms of ABMs by controlling the adjustment pace. Notably, this S-ABM...

November 10, 2023
Articles, Sustainability, ,
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