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March 2024

Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

By Prof Stein Emil Vollset, DrPH, Emily Goren, PhD, Chun-Wei Yuan, PhD, Jackie Cao, MS, Amanda E Smith, MPA, Thomas Hsiao, BS, Catherine Bisignano, MPH, Gulrez S Azhar, PhD, Emma Castro, MS, Julian Chalek, BS, Andrew J Dolgert, PhD, Tahvi Frank, MPH, Kai Fukutaki, BA, Prof Simon I Hay, FMedSci, Prof Rafael Lozano, MD, Prof Ali H Mokdad, PhD, Vishnu Nandakumar, MS, Maxwell Pierce, BS, Martin Pletcher, BS, Toshana Robalik, BSc, Krista M Steuben, MS, Han Yong Wunrow, BSc,...

U.S. Pension Risk Transfer. 2023 Reflections and Looking Ahead

By AON The U.S. pension risk transfer (PRT) market saw another record-breaking year in 2023. After setting record highs for total premium in 2021 and 2022, the market set a new high-water mark for the total number of transactions in 2023 with 773 deals closing during the calendar year. These transactions resulted in $45 billion of premium transferred. Since 2012, $318 billion of pension obligations have transferred from plan sponsors to insurance companies. On the other side of the equation, insurer...

The Riccati Tontine: How to Satisfy Regulators on Average

By Moshe A. Milevsky & T. S. Salisbury This paper presents a new type of modern accumulation-based tontine, called the Riccati tontine, named after two Italians: mathematician Jacobo Riccati (b. 1676, d. 1754) and financier Lorenzo di Tonti (b. 1602, d. 1684). The Riccati tontine is yet another way of pooling and sharing longevity risk, but is different from competing designs in two key ways. The first is that in the Riccati tontine, the representative investor is expected -- although...

Childhood Experience and Expected Sources of Income in Old Age

By Huabin Bian, Fei Jin, Qingfu Liu & Yiuman Tse This paper uses the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) database to explore the impact of family relationships in childhood (CFR) and economic conditions in childhood (CEC) on awareness of income sources in old age (AOAIS). We find that people whose family relationships in childhood were harmonious have passive AOAIS, whereas those with favorable economic conditions in childhood demonstrate proactive AOAIS. CFR affects AOAIS through family values, while CEC influences...

Pension funds and fossil fuel phase-out: historical developments and limitations of pension climate strategies

 By Clara McDonnell Despite the decades of international climate negotiations and several landmark agreements, global efforts to date to restrict fossil fuel production in line with climate targets have been unsuccessful. As national and international policies continue to fall short of phasing out fossil fuels, increasing attention has been paid to non-state actors, like pension funds, as a potential source of more ambitious climate action. As major asset owners, large shareholders in fossil fuel companies, and historically activist investors, pension...

El contexto sociodemográfico y económico del envejecimiento en América Latina

Por Organización Panamericana de la Salud Con el objetivo de perfilar el conocimiento actual disponible sobre la situación de la salud y el bienestar de las personas mayores en la Región de las Américas al comienzo de la Década de Envejecimiento Saludable 2021-2030, así como de informar sobre el envejecimiento poblacional, en este informe se brinda información actualizada sobre la situación sociodemográfica y económica de las personas mayores desde un enfoque multidimensional y centrado en la persona. La publicación aborda...

Medición de la economía informal (MEI) 2022

Por Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía El Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) presenta los resultados preliminares de la Medición de la Economía Informal (MEI) 2022. El objetivo es medir el Valor Agregado Bruto (VAB) de la economía informal para conocer su comportamiento y contribución al Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) del país. La MEI forma parte del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México (SCNM). Como lo sugiere la Organización Internacional del Trabajo, la medición considera el sector...

Distribución de la cotización adicional en la reforma de pensiones

Por Gabriel Ugarte & Rodrigo Vergara Este análisis considera un rango de cotización dado que existen periodos donde el gasto en beneficios será mayor y menor que el monto recaudado. La idea es hacer un ejercicio fiscalmente neutro, es decir, que no implique un endeudamiento permanente del gobierno. Bajo esta restricción buscamos si hay distribuciones distintas al 6/0 que contiene la propuesta del gobierno (seis puntos para el FIP y cero para cuentas de capitalización individual), que entreguen tasas de...

Reporte de investigación 137: El mundo del desempleo y de la precarización laboral en México. 2018-2023

Por Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México El Centro de Análisis Multidisciplinario durante años se ha dado a la tarea por hacer investigación desde la ley del valor trabajo en Marx y darle continuidad al estudio del desempleo, pues pensamos que es importante ubicar la discusión para explicar al desempleo desde un carácter estructural, por lo que el propio capitalismo lo desencadena sistemáticamente, asimismo, en esta investigación comentaremos sobre algunas de las principales consecuencias del desempleo en torno a los bajos...

The next stage of ESG evolution in the pension landscape

By Investment Institute A juggernaut that’s losing momentum or just refiring its engine? This question on ESG investing has come to the fore due to a confluence of exceptional events in 2022. After meeting investors’ return expectations since the 2015 Paris Agreement, last year’s savage bear market hit a broad range of investment strategies, no matter their intrinsic merits. ESG was no exception. The episode showed that ESG investments are exposed to periodic setbacks due to a larger dynamic that has little to do with...