October 2023

US. Pension risk transfer pipeline remains robust, even if falling short of 2022 record

The U.S. pension risk transfer market remains robust in 2023, although it may not break the record for dollar volume set in 2022, experts say. This is despite a new record for dollar volume in the first half of 2023, totaling $22.5 billion in premiums paid for pension buyout transactions, according to research firm LIMRA. In 2022, the total volume was $48.3 billion, driven primarily by corporate pension funds' improving funding ratios, which have enabled many to pull the trigger on...

Fund managers are updating bond models to capture a new risk

A growing number of asset managers is reassessing bond values tied to real assets, as a spike in the frequency of flash floods, fires and storms hits conventional pricing models. Mitch Reznick, head of sustainable fixed income at Federated Hermes, says climate risk is a key reason why the investment manager is now underweight real estate credit. Jonathan Bailey, global head of ESG and impact investing at Neuberger Berman Group, says he's increasingly looking at whether issuers have enough capital to...

Global Pension Risk Survey: UK Findings 2023/24

By Aon The Global Pension Risk Survey has been running every two years for over a decade and it gives the pension industry great insight into how the pensions landscape has developed. The 2023 findings show that many pension schemes are grappling with recent challenges including persistent high inflation, rising interest rates and a raft of regulatory change. Schemes are having to prioritise carefully which actions they will address and when, while also navigating the risk of non-compliance as well as...

US. DOL working on pension risk transfer rule review amid hot market

While pension risk transfer (PRT) deals continue to break records, federal regulators are nearing a deadline for review and recommendations of Interpretative Bulletin 95-1. Issued by the Department of Labor in 1995, IB-95 lays out the fiduciary standards for selecting an annuity provider for a pension risk transfer. Under the rule, pensions must consider the provider’s investment portfolio, size relative to the annuity contract, level of capital and surplus, liability exposure, and availability of state government guaranty associations. According to provisions in the...

What’s wrong with private market valuations and why do UK pension funds care?

Britain's Financial Conduct Authority said last week a review of risks in markets for unlisted assets would check how valuations are being undertaken and whether any risks could spread into banking. WHY IS THE REGULATOR WORRIED? Stock markets and prices of government bonds have been hit by expectations of higher interest rates for a longer period than initially anticipated. Prices of private, unlisted assets have remained relatively high, raising questions about how valuations are conducted and if a reckoning is due. WHY...

90% of U.S. companies with DB plans looking for exits via PRT – MetLife

Nearly 90% of U.S. corporations with defined benefit plans look to fully transfer all their liabilities in an average of just four years, according to a new poll conducted by MetLife. In MetLife's 2023 Pension Risk Transfer Poll, the insurer said 89% of respondents said they plan to fully divest all their liabilities. Among that population, they plan to do so in an average of 4.1 years. Also, 94% of respondents said they are weighing the DB plan's value against the...

September 2023

Striking US auto workers want their pensions back, apart from higher wages

On picket lines around the country, auto workers aren’t just demanding higher wages. They want to get back their once-sacred retirement pensions. While United Auto Workers (UAW) members who were hired prior to the 2008 financial crisis have pensions, those brought on since have received 401(k) plans instead. The union is demanding the auto companies provide pensions for new employees and those who currently lack them. “We need to do something, because right now, if you came in after '07, you...

UK. Systemic risks’ in pension schemes’ inflation hedging – SPP

There are systemic risks with defined benefit (DB) pension schemes’ inflation hedging, the Society of Pension Professionals (SPP) has warned in its latest research.According to its Vision 2023 report, the inflation hedge of a DB scheme is imperfect because a Retail Prices Index (RPI) asset is used to hedge an inflation-linked liability, where the inflation linkage of the latter is limited by caps and floors. “This means the amount of index-linked gilt exposure needed will change as inflation levels...

Welfare Analysis of Housing in the Presence of Interest Rate Risk

By Servaas van Bilsen, Theo Nijman & Emiliana van Erk  We model the welfare losses of (i) the presence of a mortgage with required repayments, (ii) a minimum pension savings constraint, and (iii) imposing a suboptimal investment strategy. We develop a life-cycle model which considers housing and interest rate risk. For a reasonable set of parameter values, we find welfare losses of up to 2.41% (5.02%) if a homeowner with a 30-year fixed-rate (adjustable-rate) mortgage faces a minimum savings constraint of...

Risk Aversion and Savings Behavior

By Antoine Bommier, Francois Le Grand & Lionel Wilner This paper investigates the relationship between lifetime savings and risk aversion. First, we take a theoretical approach in a two-period framework with a very general non-parametric model. We show that risk aversion reduces savings in the presence of mortality risk. We then verify the negative impact of risk aversion on savings in a numerical exercise, with a multi-period setting where mortality risk is calibrated on actual demographic life-tables. Finally, we check...